Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 3

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Assyriska Föreningen		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.72
	2.12	3.65	2.46
	2.28	3.77	2.73	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.7
	2.24	3.48	2.73	Watch
	2.18	3.47	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Assyriska Föreningen
40.8%

Draw
25.5%

Karlberg
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

25.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Assyriska Föreningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osayi K. (G) 7. Aaltonen F. 22. Haddad M. (C) 16. Hillemar L. 10. Jarret-Marston K. 9. Jonsson L. 6. Kalabane A. 5. Karlsson A. 8. Nordeman A. 2. Sjoblom E. 14. Widerberg V.	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 19. Jemal A. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 20. Othman R. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R.
Substitutes
12. Edgren S. 13. Jacob A. 24. Jacob A. 17. Nnamani S. 20. Raouf A. 21. Ronnelow L. (G) 3. Tahwildaran L.	4. Backman A. 35. Bojang E. (G) 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 11. Mitku M. 21. Nilsson F. 12. Sequar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Othman R. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Widerberg V. ⚽, Aaltonen F. (A),
21', Haddad M. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Jonsson L. ⚽, Sjoblom E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 2 - 2, Othman R. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 3 - 2, Jarret-Marston K. ⚽,
60', Hillemar L. ↓, Tahwildaran L. ↑,
62', Jarret-Marston K. 🟨,
73', 3 - 3, Othman R. ⚽,
79', Nieminen Eriksson F. 🟨,
82', Geiger N. ↓, Jamshidi A. ↑,
82', Widerberg V. ↓, Nnamani S. ↑,
87', 3 - 4, Jemal A. ⚽,
89', Nieminen Eriksson F. ↓, Sequar A. ↑,
89', Othman R. ↓, Hogberg F. ↑,
90', Nordeman A. ↓, Jacob A. ↑,
90+1', Aaltonen F. 🟨,
90+1', Gkoulios A. 🟨,
90+4', Negash N. 🟨,

Preview

Assyriska FF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Assyriska FF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Assyriska FF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Assyriska FF	25	9	5	11	43:45	-2	32
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Last Results with these Odds

Karlberg - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.04.26	Piteå - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Stockholm Internazionale	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Stockholm Internazionale - Assyriska Föreningen	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Gefle	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Karlberg - Assyriska Föreningen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWLW
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.04.26	Karlberg - Enköping	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Sollentuna - Karlberg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.11.25	Sollentuna - Karlberg	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Karlberg - United Nordic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.10.25	Karlberg - Assyriska Föreningen	2:3
13.04.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	1:2
03.11.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	2:3
26.05.24	Karlberg - Assyriska Föreningen	3:1
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
12.06.22	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	3:2

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