The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karlberg 18.3%
Draw 20.6%
United Nordic 61.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
20%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
19.7%
55.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlberg's form might have worsened.
United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting United Nordic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United Nordic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karlberg - United Nordic Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. (C) 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 21. Khan A. 6. Mbye M. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 16. Rydell A. 12. Sequar A. 26. Ward K. 4. Westerberg J.
1. Melkemichel A. (G) 6. Aphrem G. 2. Behnan M. 7. Eminovic A. 3. Fazal M. 20. Harabi A. 10. Mehmeti L. 4. Rogic F. (C) 9. Shhab S. 21. Swedi E. 42. Tagesson J.
Substitutes
31. Gkoulios A. (G) 15. Hall V. 22. Lindqvist R. 11. Muyenga A. 8. Negash N. 20. Othman R. 24. Sietsema L.
17. Daneyl N. 18. Issa N. 25. Nesvik-Andersson L. 44. Nnamani S. 30. Stahl P. (G) 23. Ulloa Niinivirta L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Rupia-Ellis A. 🟨,
6', Rydell A. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Harabi A. ⚽,
16', Sequar A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Eminovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Rydell A. ↓, Muyenga A. ↑,
60', Geiger N. ↓, Negash N. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
65', 1 - 3, Harabi A. ⚽,
74', Mehmeti L. ↓, Nnamani S. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Eminovic A. ⚽,
82', Sequar A. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
82', Khan A. ↓, Othman R. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', Eminovic A. ↓, Daneyl N. ↑,
90', Aphrem G. ↓, Nesvik-Andersson L. ↑,
90', Shhab S. ↓, Issa N. ↑,
90', Dudziak K. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).
Karlberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
United Nordic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, United Nordic is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.