Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Perrakis K. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Asteras Tripolis		Ionikos Nikaias

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.25	5.6
	1.66	3.45	5
	1.68	3.46	6.11
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.68	3.65	5.2	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.79)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	5.42 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
55.8%

Draw
26.9%

Ionikos Nikaias
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

29.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.7%	4.1%	8.2%

Asteras Tripolis - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions

Users Predictions: Asteras Tripolis will win (64 of 73 users predict this - 87.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 95.21%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

Asteras Tripolis has the most likely position - 9 (19.52%), has project points - 38, has currently - 10, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ionikos has the most likely position - 11 (15.67%), has project points - 32, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, small importance 22, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Asteras Tripolis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ionikos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ionikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Asteras Tripolis is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Tripolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
09.11.22	Atromitos Athens - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
31.10.22	PAS Giannina - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	2:2 ✺
Greek Cup
19.10.22	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLTL
- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
10.11.22	Ionikos Nikaias - PAOK	0:3 ✺
05.11.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Ionikos Nikaias - PAS Giannina	2:2 ✺
Greek Cup
18.10.22	Volos - Ionikos Nikaias	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
09.04.22	Asteras Tripolis - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3
12.02.22	Asteras Tripolis - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3
20.11.21	Ionikos Nikaias - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
Club Friendly
01.08.21	Asteras Tripolis - Ionikos Nikaias	4:0

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