Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 32

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium (Heraklion)

Referee: Gortsilas E. (Gre)


	OFI		Ionikos Nikaias

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.05	2.95
	2.48	3.12	3.12
	2.3	3	3
	2.35	3.24	3.06	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.91)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	3.05 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
39.1%

Draw
30.2%

Ionikos Nikaias
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.

Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ionikos Nikaias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ionikos Nikaias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	38.9%	27.8%

OFI - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ionikos will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This event has small quality 23, importance 40, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches OFI won 2.

OFI is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ionikos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches OFI won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams OFI won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
29.04.23	Atromitos Athens - OFI	2:3 ✺
22.04.23	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	OFI - Lamia	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	PAS Giannina - OFI	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	OFI - Levadiakos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWT
- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
29.04.23	Ionikos Nikaias - PAS Giannina	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Levadiakos - Ionikos Nikaias	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Panetolikos - Ionikos Nikaias	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ionikos Nikaias - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Atromitos Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
26.02.23	Ionikos Nikaias - OFI	0:2
Club Friendly
14.12.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	7:0
Greek Super League
05.11.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	0:2
19.03.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3
19.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - OFI	0:0
28.11.21	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	2:1

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