Match Info

Super League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 6
Australia	SportPlus
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Kosovo	SuperSport 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportPlus, SportsEngine Play


	Asteras Tripolis		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.41	Watch
	7.50	4.50	1.40
	7.2	4.3	1.41	Watch
	7.68	4.7	1.44
	7.71	4.41	1.41	Watch
	7.6	4.65	1.41
	7.46	4.18	1.44	Watch
	6.8	4.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (6.5)	4.39 ↑ (4)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
12.6%

Draw
21.3%

AEK Athens
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

23.2%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

22.7%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - AEK Athens (1.42) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Chatziemmanouil V. (G) 16. Brorsson F. 74. Laskaris D. 32. Silva J. 27. Kotsiras G. 21. Kourbelis D. (C) 10. Gonzalez E. 28. Mendez A. 7. Bartolo J. 9. Macheda F. 11. Ketu K.	91. Brignoli A. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilo S. 14. Majer L. 16. Arriaga K. 18. Marin R. 8. Gacinovic M. 90. Zini 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
8. Bouzoukis G. 14. Chicco J. 6. Chrysopoulos K. 91. Kakadiaris T. (G) 20. Kaltsas N. 75. Kimpioka B. 51. Kriaras G. (G) 19. Orozco F. 44. Papakanellos A. 80. Perez B. 39. Ricardinho 17. Tereziou A.	41. Balamotis M. (G) 15. Georgiev M. 23. Joao Mario 6. Kairinen K. 17. Kaloskamis D. 11. Koita A. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Mantalos P. 19. Varga B. 21. Vida D. 27. Vitalis M. 10. Zubkov O.
Coaches
Antonopoulos G.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Majer L. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Laskaris D. (Own goal),
31', 1 - 1, Bartolo J. ⚽, Macheda F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Arriaga K. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
52', Gacinovic M. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
54', Bartolo J. 🟨,
74', Macheda F. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
74', Kourbelis D. ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
81', Ketu K. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
88', Zini ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
90+1', Kotsiras G. 🟨,
90+2', Bartolo J. ↓, Tereziou A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 0.

Asteras Tripolis is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AEK is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Asteras Tripolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Bartolo J. (Injury) Deligiannidis P. (Inactive) Papadopoulos N. (Inactive) Sylla I. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Strakosha T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.6:1.6).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Asteras Tripolis: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.59%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Cup
10.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
07.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Iraklis	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
18.08.26	Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- AEK Athens
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	AEK Athens - LASK Linz	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
05.09.26	AEK Athens - Aris	5:0 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	Nestos Chrysoupoli - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	AEK Athens - Levski Sofia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
24.01.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	0:1
31.08.25	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	1:0
23.02.25	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	0:3
09.11.24	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	3:0
04.02.24	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	4:2
22.10.23	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	0:3
25.02.23	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	2:0

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