Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Usa	SportPlus


	Asteras Tripolis		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.56	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.75
	5.8	3.7	1.63	Watch
	6.42	3.69	1.62
	5.57	3.59	1.65	Watch
	5.75	3.4	1.6
	6	3.6	1.6	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↓ (6)	3.52 ↓ (3.87)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
16.7%

Draw
26.5%

Panathinaikos
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

23.9%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

23.2%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Asteras Tripolis (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Chatziemmanouil V. (G) 74. Laskaris D. 3. Sipcic N. 69. Alagbe O. (C) 64. Deligiannidis P. 22. Munoz Mumo 68. Almyras C. 4. Sylla I. 11. Emmanouilidis D. 40. Ketu K. 26. Chidera O. M.	40. Lafont A. (G) 15. Ingason S. I. (C) 26. Hernandez J. 5. Touba A. 27. Kotsiras G. 4. Chirivella P. 6. Siopis M. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 9. Zaroury A. 10. Andino S. 7. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
17. Alho N. 10. Gonzalez E. 99. Grammenos D. 30. Grozdanic D. 41. Macheda F. 75. Mitrovic S. 1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 29. Pomonis K. 96. Simoni A. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 8. Tzandaris T. 5. Yablonskiy E.	11. Bakasetas A. 2. Calabria D. 12. Chaves L. (G) 31. Djuricic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 88. Jagusic A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 23. Pantelidis P. 72. Pantovic M. 8. Sanches R. 19. Swiderski K. 20. Taborda V.
Coaches
Antonopoulos G.	Benitez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Alagbe O. 🟨,
24', Andino S. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Zaroury A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 0 - 2, Tetteh A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Munoz Mumo ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
61', Chidera O. M. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
65', Kotsiras G. ↓, Pantelidis P. ↑,
70', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
71', Tetteh A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
71', Andino S. ↓, Jagusic A. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Ingason S. I. (Own goal),
83', Sylla I. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
83', Almyras C. ↓, Grammenos D. ↑,
84', Ingason S. I. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
84', Siopis M. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )

Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 1.

Asteras Tripolis has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Panathinaikos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Panathinaikos is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Chicco J. (Inactive) Gioacchini N. (Inactive) Mendieta J. (Inactive) Papadopoulos N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Kontouris S. (Yellow Cards) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Palmer-Brown E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Triantafyllopoulos K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Katris G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 29.75% Asteras Tripolis: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	10	15
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
14.03.26	AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Asteras Tripolis - Panserraikos	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Betis - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
15.03.26	Panathinaikos - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Panathinaikos - Betis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.03.26	Levadiakos - Panathinaikos	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Panathinaikos - OFI	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
26.10.25	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	0:1
18.08.24	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
21.01.24	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0
28.09.23	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:4
30.01.23	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:0
09.10.22	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	1:0

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