Match Info

GREECE: Greek Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nea Smyrni Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Ioannis P. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	Panionios		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.36	3.12	2.18
	3.62	3.05	2.13
	3.53	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.46	3.28	2.12	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
26.9%

Draw
29.8%

Asteras Tripolis
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Panionios - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Panionios will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Skafidas D. (G) 5. Avlonitis A. (C) 9. Felipe Felicio 22. Gini D. 98. Hrustinec J. 7. Kolovos D. 15. Nwgem J. 6. Poci A. 47. Prifti J. 8. Stoupis G. 77. Venardos S.	1. Papadopoulos N. (C) 17. Alho N. 29. Alvarez F. 7. Bartolo J. 28. Bile D. E. 19. Castano P. 15. Deli S. 41. Macheda F. 22. Munoz Mumo 8. Tzandaris T. 11. Xesc
Substitutes
14. Alexandrakis G. 26. Cheryshev D. 29. Czornomaz N. 19. Gemistos G. 1. Giannakopoulos N. (G) 10. Grontis D. 80. Lafkas A. 11. Piergiacomi L. 92. Seba	69. Alagbe O. 26. Chidera O. M. 78. Dervishi M. 2. Garcia R. 20. Kaltsas N. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 21. Tzimas P. 5. Yablonskiy E.
Coaches
Nikopolidis A.	Pantelidis S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Tzandaris T. 🟨,
22', Prifti J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Castano P. ↓, Triantafyllopoulos K. ↑,
46', Xesc ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
55', Felipe Felicio ↓, Seba ↑,
55', Kolovos D. ↓, Cheryshev D. ↑,
55', Nwgem J. ↓, Czornomaz N. ↑,
59', Bile D. E. ↓, Tzimas P. ↑,
59', Tzandaris T. ↓, Yablonskiy E. ↑,
66', Macheda F. 🟨,
75', Gini D. ↓, Gemistos G. ↑,
78', Gemistos G. 🟨,
79', Czornomaz N. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Kaltsas N. ⚽,
83', Macheda F. ↓, Alagbe O. ↑,
89', Venardos S. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Bartolo J. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Panionios won 0.

Panionios is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Asteras Tripolis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Panionios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Asteras Tripolis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Panionios to win the game is with odds 3.26.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Panionios won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:18 (average 0.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Panionios won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios
Greek Super League 2
15.12.24	Egaleo - Panionios	1:2 ✺
09.12.24	Panionios - Panargiakos	4:0 ✺
Greek Cup
05.12.24	Panionios - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League 2
01.12.24	PAE Chania - Panionios	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTT
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
14.12.24	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
05.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Zakynthos	5:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.12.24	Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.06.20	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	0:0
23.01.20	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	2:0
20.10.19	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	1:0
Greek Super League
05.05.19	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	3:0
30.01.19	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	1:0
24.02.18	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:0

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