Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Asti		Caronnese

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Asti
37.2%

Draw
30.3%

Caronnese
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

23%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caronnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caronnese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.11.21	Ticino - Asti	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Asti - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Bra - Asti	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Asti - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Varese - Asti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWLT
- SC Caronnese ASD
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Breno - Caronnese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.11.21	Caronnese - Novara	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Chieri - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Caronnese - Lavagnese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Castellanzese - Caronnese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLTTW

Asti - Caronnese