Match Info

WSL - Round 16

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
World	Onefootball


	Aston Villa		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.38	3.45	2.48
	2.54	3.75	2.48
	2.48	3.81	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.52	3.63	2.52
	2.5	3.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
37.2%

Draw
25.6%

Tottenham Hotspur
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Aston Villa aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Roebuck E. (G) 14. Wilms L. 4. Patten A. (C) 15. Parker L. 5. Staniforth L. 6. Jean-Francois O. 25. Taylor M. 16. Maritz N. 13. Hijikata M. 23. Grant C. 20. Hanson K.	1. Kop L. (G) 22. Wijk H. 32. Koga T. 15. Hunt C. 6. Nilden A. 23. Hamano M. 25. Summanen E. 8. Gaupset S. 41. Blakstad J. 11. Holdt O. 9. England B. (C)
Substitutes
42. Clark L. (G) 24. Deslandes O. 21. Kendall L. 46. Lea P. 38. Maltby R. 32. Nighswonger J. 17. Salmon E. 44. Seymour I.	20. Ahtinen O. 5. Bartrip M. 30. Dennis A. 18. Gunning Williams L. 27. Heeps E. (G) 14. Nilden M. 12. Rybrink J. 19. Tandberg C. 13. Vinberg M.
Coaches
Arroyo N.	Ho M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Gaupset S. ⚽, Blakstad J. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Hanson K. ⚽, Maritz N. (A),
19', 1 - 2, England B. ⚽, Holdt O. (A),
26', 1 - 3, Holdt O. ⚽,
34', Staniforth L. 🟨,
45+4', Nilden A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Staniforth L. ↓, Maltby R. ↑,
67', Nilden A. ↓, Vinberg M. ↑,
67', Holdt O. ↓, Tandberg C. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Jean-Francois O. ⚽,
69', 2 - 4, Tandberg C. ⚽,
71', Grant C. ↓, Salmon E. ↑,
71', Taylor M. ↓, Kendall L. ↑,
72', 2 - 5, Hamano M. ⚽,
80', 3 - 5, Hanson K. ⚽, Wilms L. (A),
83', 3 - 6, Tandberg C. ⚽,
85', 3 - 7, Blakstad J. ⚽, Vinberg M. (A),
85', England B. ↓, Ahtinen O. ↑,
85', Koga T. ↓, Bartrip M. ↑,
85', Hamano M. ↓, Gunning Williams L. ↑,
90+6', Hunt C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 1.

Aston Villa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tottenham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Baijings J. (Knee Injury) Daly R. (Surgery) Gabi Nunes (Back Injury) Kearns M. (Knock) Kendall L. (Thigh Injury) Tomas P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Buhler L. (Knee Injury) Grant C. (Knee Injury) James-Turner A. (Injury) Morris E. (Knee Injury) Naz J. (Knee Injury) Oroz M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: D'Angelo S. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Tottenham W: 3.42% Aston Villa W: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tottenham W	5	3	1	1	16:8	8	10
12	Aston Villa W	5	0	3	2	4:11	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
08.02.26	Liverpool LFC - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
01.02.26	Everton - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Tottenham Hotspur LFC
English WSL
08.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	West Ham - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Liverpool LFC - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
07.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:1
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:0 penalties
English WSL
20.04.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:3
English League Cup Women
23.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:0
English WSL
29.09.24	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
18.02.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2
21.10.23	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:4

Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide