Match Info

WSL - Round 14

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool)

Referee: Fullicks S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Everton		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.01
	3.1	3.35	2.05
	3.33	3.49	2.1
	3.25	3.58	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.33	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.12)	3.46 ↑ (3.26)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
28.5%

Draw
26.7%

Aston Villa
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Everton - Aston Villa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brosnan C. (C) 2. Blundell H. 30. Mace R. 5. Fernandez M. 13. Kitagawa H. 6. Hayashi H. 10. Gabarro I. 8. van Gool R. 7. Wheeler C. 29. Momiki Y. 18. Vignola O.	1. D'Angelo S. (G) 6. Jean-Francois O. 4. Patten A. (C) 24. Deslandes O. 14. Wilms L. 38. Maltby R. 25. Taylor M. 17. Salmon E. 18. Mullet G. 20. Hanson K. 13. Hijikata M.
Substitutes
22. Galli A. 16. Harbert L. 3. Ishikawa R. 4. Issy 14. Lawley M. 33. Pacheco M. 12. Ramsey E. (G)	42. Clark L. (G) 23. Grant C. 46. Lea P. 16. Maritz N. 32. Nighswonger J. 15. Parker L. 45. Round M. 5. Staniforth L.
Coaches
Sorensen B.	Arroyo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Salmon E. ⚽,
16', Mace R. 🟨,
30', Patten A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Mace R. (A),
45', Brosnan C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', Maltby R. ↓, Nighswonger J. ↑,
76', Gabarro I. ↓, Pacheco M. ↑,
76', van Gool R. ↓, Galli A. ↑,
77', Mullet G. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Mace R. (A),
90+2', Momiki Y. ↓, Issy ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aston Villa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Finnigan M. (Knee Injury) Holmgaard K. (Knee Injury) Hope L. (Inactive) Snoeijs K. (Ankle Injury) Stenevik E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Baijings J. (Knee Injury) Gabi Nunes (Back Injury) Grant C. (Knock) Tomas P. (Knock)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Everton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Everton W: 0.35% Aston Villa W: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Everton W	5	3	0	2	4:4	0	9
12	Aston Villa W	5	0	3	2	4:11	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton LFC
English WSL
23.01.26	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
15.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Everton	0:5 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Everton - Arsenal LFC	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 LWLLW
- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
25.01.26	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Manchester City - Aston Villa	6:1 ✺
11.12.25	Aston Villa - Liverpool LFC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
02.11.25	Aston Villa - Everton	3:3
02.03.25	Aston Villa - Everton	0:2
18.01.25	Everton - Aston Villa	1:1
Club Friendly Women
08.09.24	Everton - Aston Villa	1:3
English WSL
16.03.24	Everton - Aston Villa	1:2
English FA Cup Women
13.01.24	Aston Villa - Everton	0:3
English WSL
26.11.23	Aston Villa - Everton	1:2

Everton - Aston Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide