Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Bodymoor Heath Training Ground (Birmingham)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Aston Villa U21		Leicester City U21

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	3.7
	1.95	3.75	3.1
	1.62	4.6	3.95
	1.63	4.61	3.91
	1.62	4.25	4.09	Watch
	1.63	4.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.97)	4.29 ↑ (3.8)	3.78 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U21
54.4%

Draw
21.4%

Leicester City U21
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

23.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa U21's performance.

Leicester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City U21 than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Emery L. (G) 2. Rowe T. 4. Katsukunya T. 5. Bogarde L. 3. Munroe F. (C) 6. Borland A. 8. Alcock T. 7. Afoka C. 10. Kellyman O. 11. Jimoh J. 9. Moore K.	1. Young B. (G) 5. Wormleighton J. (C) 4. Amartey B. 3. Grist B. 2. Cover B. 10. Raikhy A. 6. Braybrooke S. 8. Briggs L. 7. Joseph J. 9. Maswanhise T. 11. Thomas S.
Substitutes
12. Ealing F. 14. Patterson T. 16. Pierre K. 13. Proctor S. (G) 15. Wilson R.	13. Doherty A. (G) 12. Ewing O. 16. Pennant K. 15. Popov C. 14. Richards A.
Coaches
Gombau J.	Petty B.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 23).

Aston Villa U21 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leicester U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aston Villa U21 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U21
English Premier League 2
11.03.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Aston Villa U21	4:2 ✺
03.03.24	Liverpool U21 - Aston Villa U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
27.02.24	Aston Villa U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	6:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
23.02.24	Aston Villa U21 - Stoke City U21	2:2 ✺
16.02.24	Aston Villa U21 - Middlesbrough U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTW
- Leicester City U21
English Premier League 2
08.03.24	Everton U21 - Leicester City U21	4:3 ✺
04.03.24	Leicester City U21 - Leeds United U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
01.03.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Leicester City U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
19.02.24	Leicester City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
02.02.24	Leicester City U21 - Brentford U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League U21
10.03.14	Aston Villa U21 - Leicester City U21	3:4

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