Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Astrakhan		Legion Makhachkala

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.11	16.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.73)	5.11 ↑ (3.81)	16.5 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
74.9%

Draw
19.2%

Legion Makhachkala
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astrakhan's performance.

Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legion Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legion Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legion Makhachkala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Pacho (Pen),
14', 2 - 0, Zolotorenko D. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Levchenkov I. ⚽,
20', 4 - 0, Karpov A. ⚽,
30', 4 - 1, Krasnov N. (Pen),
40', 4 - 2, Alim L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 5 - 2, Pacho ⚽,

Preview

Astrakhan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Legion's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Astrakhan is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Astrakhan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.09.25	Astrakhan - Angust Nazran	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Astrakhan - Spartak Nalchik	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.25	Sochi 2 - Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL
- Legion Makhachkala
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.09.25	Rubin Yalta - Legion Makhachkala	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Angust Nazran - Legion Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Kuban-Kholding	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
30.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Astrakhan	0:1
31.05.25	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	2:1
16.11.24	Legion Makhachkala - Astrakhan	0:0
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
15.05.24	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	1:0

Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide