Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Astrakhan		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.35	1.77
	5.17	3.86	1.76	Watch
	5	3.66	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (5.82)	3.62 ↓ (4.22)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
19.5%

Draw
25.5%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

23.3%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Grishin V. (G) 4. Abzalilov S. 11. Bolonin A. (C) 23. Krivokhizhin E. 52. Malomusov R. 41. Maslennikov I. 6. Musaev B. 19. Pacho 89. Shatalov D. 18. Vladimirov D. 99. Zolotorenko D.	73. Shtepa M. (G) 11. Gurchenko D. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Lozhkin V. 99. Morozov K. (C) 19. Pomeshkin K. 69. Rodionov I. 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 77. Zarypbekov E. 17. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
3. Abzalilov A. 5. Atty-Bayeba A. 17. Belov D. 25. Galochkin F. 77. Karpov A. 71. Krasilnikov A. (G) 13. Levchenkov I. 27. Malysh M. 7. Polushin M. 9. Predeus I. 15. Sizov D. 8. Zlobin N.	9. Aliev S. 15. Alikberov T. 7. Antonov A. 31. Kasimov T. 32. Matyusha M. (G) 18. Nikolaev O. 3. Pliev Z. 13. Puzanov S. 8. Tarba Z. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 10. Zhigulev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Lozhkin V. ⚽,
26', Zolotorenko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maslennikov I. ↓, Levchenkov I. ↑,
46', Morozov K. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
62', Rodionov I. ↓, Nikolaev O. ↑,
62', Lozhkin V. ↓, Kasimov T. ↑,
62', Pomeshkin K. ↓, Zhigulev I. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Sutugin I. ⚽,
75', Musaev B. ↓, Zlobin N. ↑,
75', Shatalov D. ↓, Malysh M. ↑,
81', Pacho ↓, Predeus I. ↑,
84', Zarypbekov E. ↓, Alikberov T. ↑,

Preview

Astrakhan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Chernomorets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Astrakhan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chernomorets is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
20.09.25	Astrakhan - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.25	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	5:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.09.25	Astrakhan - Angust Nazran	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
21.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL South
25.04.16	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Astrakhan	2:0
13.09.15	Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0

Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide