Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 13 January 2023, Friday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Haras El-Hodood

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.87	3.75
	1.95	2.88	4.2
	2.06	2.9	3.7
	2.05	3.04	4.37
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	1.97	2.96	4.25	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	4 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
45.7%

Draw
31.3%

Haras El-Hodood
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

31.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

31.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Aswan - Haras El Hodood Predictions

Users Predictions: Aswan will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Aswan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Haras El-Hodood is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aswan is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aswan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
08.01.23	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	0:0 ✺
02.01.23	Aswan - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
29.12.22	Al Masry - Aswan	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Aswan - ENPPI	2:0 ✺
19.12.22	Pyramids - Aswan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TWWWL
- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
08.01.23	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Haras El-Hodood	3:2 ✺
28.12.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	2:2 ✺
24.12.22	Haras El-Hodood - National Bank of Egypt	2:1 ✺
20.12.22	Zamalek - Haras El-Hodood	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
08.10.20	Aswan - Haras El-Hodood	2:1
27.01.20	Haras El-Hodood - Aswan	1:2
25.05.16	Haras El-Hodood - Aswan	1:0
09.01.16	Aswan - Haras El-Hodood	1:0

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