Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)

Referee: Omar A. M. (Egy)


	Aswan		Zamalek

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.6
	5.8	3.6	1.54
	5.2	3.45	1.62
	6.17	3.5	1.66
	5.5	3.25	1.63
	5.6	3.5	1.62	Watch
	5.4	3.55	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (5.6)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
16.7%

Draw
26.5%

Zamalek
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

26.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

25.8%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	11.1%	85.2%

Aswan - Zamalek Predictions

Users Predictions: Zamalek will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aswan won 1.

Recent matches Aswan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zamalek is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Zamalek is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aswan won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
29.12.22	Al Masry - Aswan	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Aswan - ENPPI	2:0 ✺
19.12.22	Pyramids - Aswan	2:1 ✺
15.12.22	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:3 ✺
08.12.22	Smouha - Aswan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLW
- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
29.12.22	Zamalek - Ismaily	3:1 ✺
25.12.22	El Mokawloon El Arab - Zamalek	0:0 ✺
20.12.22	Zamalek - Haras El-Hodood	4:0 ✺
16.12.22	National Bank of Egypt - Zamalek	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
23.05.22	Zamalek - Aswan	2:1
Egyptian Premier League
17.06.21	Zamalek - Aswan	3:0
23.01.21	Aswan - Zamalek	0:0
18.09.20	Aswan - Zamalek	1:0
02.01.20	Zamalek - Aswan	2:0
15.06.17	Zamalek - Aswan	1:0
08.12.16	Aswan - Zamalek	0:0

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