Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 31

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Atalanta U23		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.09	3.45	3.47
	2	3.52	3.31	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.02	3.22	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 (2.03)	3.33 ↓ (3.59)	3.33 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
45%

Draw
27.5%

Audace Cerignola
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Atalanta U23 - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Audace Cerignola (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 2. Plaia M. 19. Obric R. 37. Navarro A. 25. Steffanoni F. 5. Panada S. (C) 47. Levak S. 61. Idele J. 10. Cortinovis A. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G.	31. Iliev V. (G) 23. Gasbarro A. 5. Martinelli L. 45. Cocorocchio M. 99. Parlato C. 10. Paolucci L. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
23. Baldo N. 4. Berto G. 58. Bonanomi A. 14. Cisse M. 6. Comi P. 24. Ghislandi D. 18. Guerini A. 80. Mencaraglia F. 1. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 12. Zanchi E. (G)	17. Ballabile E. 37. Bassino A. 8. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 39. Iervolino A. 15. Ligi A. 24. Moreso O. 26. Nanula D. 7. Ntampizas K. 83. Ruggiero Z. 1. Russo A. (G) 25. Spaltro R. 90. Tarantino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Levak S. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Cortinovis A. ⚽,
15', Misitano G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Vitale G. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Parlato C. ⚽,
64', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
65', Idele J. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
66', D'Orazio L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
73', Cortinovis A. ↓, Bonanomi A. ↑,
75', Paolucci L. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Gasbarro A. (Own goal),
80', Levak S. 🟨,
84', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
84', Cocorocchio M. ↓, Ntampizas K. ↑,
86', Manzoni A. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
86', Panada S. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,
89', Paolucci L. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
90', Parlato C. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Atalanta U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Audace Cerignola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atalanta U23 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atalanta U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18:11	7	17

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.26	Picerno - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Trapani - Atalanta U23	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Foggia - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Potenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Trapani	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:4
Italian Serie C Group A
21.05.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:2
18.05.25	Atalanta U23 - Audace Cerignola	0:0

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