Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 28

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Audace Cerignola		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.15
	1.77	3.57	4.55
	1.72	3.64	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.72	3.44	4.38	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)	3.46 ↑ (3.36)	4.37 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
52.5%

Draw
26.5%

Casarano
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Audace Cerignola - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. (C) 23. Gasbarro A. 99. Parlato C. 10. Paolucci L. 4. Vitale G. 58. Cretella C. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 5. Celiento D. 25. Bachini M. 3. Giraudo F. 27. Versienti L. 23. Logoluso G. 11. Ferrara V. 29. Gyamfi B. 46. Leonetti V. 16. Santarcangelo A. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 37. Bassino A. 45. Cocorocchio M. 8. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 39. Iervolino A. 86. Labranca R. 15. Ligi A. 24. Moreso O. 26. Nanula D. 83. Ruggiero Z. 1. Russo A. (G) 25. Spaltro R. 90. Tarantino J.	26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 10. Chirico C. 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 4. Lulic K. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gambale D. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Bachini M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Giraudo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
52', Parlato C. 🟨,
57', Leonetti V. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
60', Logoluso G. 🟨,
70', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
74', Ferrara V. 🟨,
76', Grandolfo F. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
76', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Gasbarro A. ⚽,
87', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
88', Ferrara V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
88', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
88', D'Orazio L. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Audace Cerignola is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18:11	7	17
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Audace Cerignola - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWWT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	1:0
06.10.21	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	2:0
02.05.21	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	5:0
10.01.21	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	5:3
05.01.20	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:2

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