Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Nuova Cosenza		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3.15	4.13
	2.05	3.01	3.77	Watch
	2	2.9	3.4
	2.07	2.74	3.94	Watch
	2.14	2.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.77)	2.93 ↓ (3.57)	3.81 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
44.3%

Draw
31.4%

Audace Cerignola
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pompei T. (G) 3. Moretti A. 17. Caporale A. 6. Pintus N. 45. Ciotti P. 27. Ba R. 37. Palmieri R. 77. Langella C. 7. Cannavo K. 9. Beretta G. 34. Florenzi A. (C)	31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 23. Gasbarro A. 15. Ligi A. (C) 99. Parlato C. 10. Paolucci L. 4. Vitale G. 58. Cretella C. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 11. D'Orazio T. 90. Emmausso M. 33. Ferrara A. 10. Garritano L. 71. Mazzulla A. 32. Rocco A. 40. Vannucchi T. (G) 22. Vettorel T. (G)	17. Ballabile E. 37. Bassino A. 45. Cocorocchio M. 8. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 39. Iervolino A. 86. Labranca R. 24. Moreso O. 25. Nanula D. 83. Ruggiero Z. 1. Russo A. (G) 90. Tarantino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Ligi A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Moretti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ba R. ↓, Garritano L. ↑,
55', Palmieri R. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
56', Beretta G. 🟨,
60', Garritano L. 🟨,
64', Cretella C. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
71', Paolucci L. 🟨,
73', Contiliano N. 🟨,
75', Beretta G. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
76', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
80', Florenzi A. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
80', Pintus N. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Garritano L. ⚽,
90+1', Ligi A. ↓, Cocorocchio M. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 0, Achour S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Cosenza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Audace Cerignola is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Audace Cerignola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cosenza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Siracusa - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	1:2

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