Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Atalanta U23		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.78	3.39	4.76
	1.86	3.42	3.88	Watch
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.86	4.07	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	4.19 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
51.5%

Draw
26.5%

Potenza
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Atalanta U23 - Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Potenza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 2. Plaia M. 19. Obric R. 4. Berto G. 66. Bergonzi F. 47. Levak S. 5. Panada S. (C) 25. Steffanoni F. 7. Manzoni A. 99. Vavassori D. 14. Cisse M.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 15. Camigliano A. 14. Riggio C. 19. Balzano M. 8. Castorani M. 5. Lucas Martello 23. De Marco A. 21. Schimmenti E. 10. D'Auria G. 28. Maisto F.
Substitutes
11. Cassa F. 6. Comi P. 10. Cortinovis A. 24. Ghislandi D. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 80. Mencaraglia F. 9. Misitano G. 37. Navarro A. 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 3. Simonetto F. 17. Torriani A. (G) 90. Zanaboni E. 12. Zanchi E. (G)	98. Adjapong C. 47. Bura R. 24. Delle Monache M. 27. Erradi B. 22. Franchi D. (G) 83. Gabriele G. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 2. Landi E. 6. Loiacono G. 11. Mazzeo L. 20. Ragone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Panada S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Maisto F. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,
56', D'Auria G. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Schimmenti E. ⚽,
69', Cisse M. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
72', Panada S. 🟨,
75', Kirwan N. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
76', Vavassori D. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
76', Steffanoni F. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
77', Castorani M. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Manzoni A. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Mazzeo L. ⚽,
87', Manzoni A. ↓, Cortinovis A. ↑,
87', Schimmenti E. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
89', Castorani M. ↓, Bura R. ↑,
90+3', Levak S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atalanta U23 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.62%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
07.02.26	Crotone - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Benevento	3:4 ✺
25.01.26	Altamura - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
07.02.26	Potenza - Siracusa	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Picerno - Potenza	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Potenza - Atalanta U23	1:0

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