Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 9 de Julio (Río Cuarto)


	Atenas Río Cuarto		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	2.78	2.58	2.78
	2.79	2.45	2.85
	3.00	2.45	3.00	Watch
	2.74	2.64	2.73
	3.05	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)	2.75 ↓ (3.3)	2.59 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas Río Cuarto
31.5%

Draw
33.3%

Ciudad de Bolívar
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Geist C. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 2. Araya F. 11. Arguello M. 3. Fernandez A. 10. Hernandez A. 9. Mana M. 7. Martinez M. 8. Mucignat F. 6. Peralta F. 4. Perez L.	1. Laborda G. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N.
Substitutes
14. Abayay S. 19. Azcurra G. 12. Herrera F. 16. Pagliaricci T. 18. Palavecino P. 17. Pedrueza L. 20. Perez F. 15. Rins S. 13. Romero J.	17. Alegre T. 19. Guevara M. 13. Lucero I. 20. Maciel J. 16. Perez R. 14. Pucheta M. 12. Ruiz J. 18. Schonfeld G. 15. Zona D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas Río Cuarto won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ciudad de Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ciudad de Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atenas Río Cuarto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas Río Cuarto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.08.25	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTTW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	4:1 ✺
06.07.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1
05.04.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0
07.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0
11.05.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0
13.10.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2
20.08.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0
24.06.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:1

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