Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 9 de Julio (Río Cuarto)


	Atenas Río Cuarto		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.60	2.95
	2.52	2.58	3.05
	2.60	2.57	3.11
	2.76	2.44	3.30	Watch
	2.55	2.40	3.05
	2.56	2.51	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.22)	2.52 ↓ (2.7)	3.11 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas Río Cuarto
35%

Draw
35.9%

Villa Mitre
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

33.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

35.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atenas Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez F. (G) 2. Araya F. 5. Castro I. 3. Guzman G. 9. Mainero A. 6. Mansilla M. 10. Quiroga F. 11. Rivadero M. 7. Rosales M. 8. Schiavoni F. 4. Suarez A.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 11. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 10. Cordoba G. G. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 4. Perez T. 3. Pinto M.
Substitutes
13. Arcando A. 15. Barrera J. 17. Castro N. 14. Duco V. 19. Gomez E. 12. Herrera F. 16. Martinez M. 20. Oballes P. 18. Vera M.	18. Aguirre M. 12. Alcaraz M. (G) 15. Avit D. 13. Barreto J. 16. Escobar M. 20. Gomez S. 14. Olguin U. 17. Tunessi M. 19. Valeri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Monti L. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Atenas Río Cuarto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa Mitre is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atenas Río Cuarto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atenas Río Cuarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Atenas Río Cuarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTLWT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	3:3 ✺
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	1:0

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