Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio 9 de Julio (Río Cuarto)


	Atenas Río Cuarto		Gutiérrez de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.5	7.6
	1.38	3.99	6.25
	1.72	3.68	4.7
	1.38	4.05	7.8
	1.46	3.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.83)	3.74 ↑ (3.12)	6.79 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas Río Cuarto
62%

Draw
24.5%

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas Río Cuarto's performance.

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gutiérrez de Mendoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gutiérrez de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atenas Río Cuarto - Gutiérrez de Mendoza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atenas Río Cuarto (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atenas Río Cuarto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gutiérrez (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera F. (G) 4. Guzman G. 2. Quiroga E. 6. Romero J. 3. Perez L. 8. Mucignat F. 5. Alcaraz A. 10. Benitez M. 11. Azcurra G. 7. Mansilla A. 9. Mana M.	1. Cebreiro D. (G) 4. Pena P. 2. Mesa F. 6. Viscarra A. 3. Zapata M. 8. Ali N. 5. Marquez F. 10. Arce N. 11. Zabaleta B. 7. Quiroga J. 9. Pipistrelli I.
Substitutes
13. Araya F. 18. Arostegui J. 12. Geist C. (G) 14. Martinez M. 16. Palavecino P. 17. Pedrueza L. 15. Russo F.	13. Dominguez M. 14. Garcia G. 17. Lucero C. 12. Martin J. (G) 15. Miranda E. 18. Reveco F. 16. Villalobos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Mansilla A. ⚽,
6', Cebreiro D. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Mucignat F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Pipistrelli I. ⚽,
55', Mesa F. 🟨,
58', Azcurra G. ↓, Palavecino P. ↑,
63', Ali N. 🟨,
65', Mucignat F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
69', Romero J. 🟨,
70', Arce N. 🟥,
76', 3 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,
83', Zapata M. ↓, Lucero C. ↑,
83', Marquez F. ↓, Villalobos L. ↑,
83', Mansilla A. ↓, Pedrueza L. ↑,
83', Mana M. ↓, Arostegui J. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Guzman G. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Atenas Río Cuarto is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atenas Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atenas Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.25	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Huracán Las Heras	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - San Martín de Mendoza	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.06.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:1
05.04.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:1

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