The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athens Kallithea 39.4%
Draw 29.4%
Asteras Tripolis 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
29%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.4%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athens Kallithea's performance.
Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athens Kallithea that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
57.1%
0%
Athens Kallithea - Asteras Tripolis Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% โ 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Barragan B. (G) 6. Motoc A. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 55. Matyjewicz W. 14. Manthatis G. 8. Matilla J. 30. Diba S. 23. Soiri P. 7. Vasilogiannis A. 27. Moutinho T. 18. Giani E.
16. Tsintotas P. (G) 17. Alho N. 15. Deli S. 69. Alagbe O. 3. Chouchoumis D. 5. Yablonskiy E. 22. Munoz Mumo 19. Castano P. 11. Xesc 7. Bartolo J. 9. Adam M.
Substitutes
10. Demethryus 24. Gelios I. (G) 5. Hanousek M. 25. Loukinas G. 17. Ndiaye M. 3. Nikolic N. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 9. Uldrikis R. 28. Valbuena M.
29. Alvarez F. 28. Bile D. E. 4. Goss S. 91. Kakadiaris T. (G) 20. Kaltsas N. 41. Macheda F. 10. Palacios J. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 8. Tzandaris T.
Coaches
Donati M.
Makelele C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Bartolo J. ⚽, Castano P. (A),
28', Moutinho T. 🟥,
32', Bartolo J. 🟨,
36', Munoz Mumo 🟨,
38', Soiri P. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Giani E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Matyjewicz W. ↓, Tsivelekidis G. ↑,
58', Adam M. 🟨,
59', Munoz Mumo ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
59', Adam M. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
62', Alagbe O. ↓, Goss S. ↑,
65', Matilla J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
67', Castano P. ↓, Triantafyllopoulos K. ↑,
67', Xesc ↓, Bile D. E. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Kaltsas N. ⚽, Bile D. E. (A),
77', 1 - 3, Macheda F. ⚽, Bartolo J. (A),
78', Giani E. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
78', Vasilogiannis A. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
78', Manthatis G. ↓, Valbuena M. ↑,
90+2', Yablonskiy E. 🟨,
90+5', Motoc A. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
Recent matches Athens Kallithea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Asteras Tripolis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Athens Kallithea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Athens Kallithea will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
Greece
Usa
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Barragan B. (G) 
Motoc A. 
Isimat-Mirin N. 
Matyjewicz W. 
Manthatis G. 
Diba S. 
Soiri P. 
Moutinho T. 
Giani E. 
Deli S. 
Alagbe O. 
Yablonskiy E. 
Bartolo J. 
Adam M. 
Demethryus 
Hanousek M. 
Nikolic N. 
Uldrikis R. 
Goss S. 
