Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Athanasios Diakos Stadium (Lamia)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	Lamia		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.65	3.2	2.11
	3.74	3.26	2.04	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2
	3.7	3.06	2.12	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.14)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamia
25.1%

Draw
29.5%

Athens Kallithea
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

29.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athens Kallithea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Lamia - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lamia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lamia: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kostic I. (G) 5. Gotzamanidis N. 4. Sanchez S. 94. Giannoutsos G. 30. Soria C. 20. Athanasakopoulos A. 36. Tshibola A. 6. Sakor V. 19. Ring S. 11. Vlachomitros A. 26. Lake T.	24. Gelios I. (G) 2. Mejias J. 58. Pasalidis T. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 11. Kainourgios N. 26. Mercati A. 29. Mellado M. 27. Vrakas G. 28. Valbuena M. 10. Demethryus 9. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
33. Chantakias D. 9. Chavez A. 2. Dentakis A. 44. Margaritis R. 16. Mazhar B. 27. Radonja V. 1. Raton A. (G) 77. Tereziou A. 21. Vitlis V.	95. Lebon K. 25. Loukinas G. 8. Matilla J. 21. Metaxas D. 22. Mughe F. R. 17. Ndiaye M. 1. Pantos A. (G) 23. Soiri P. 7. Vasilogiannis A.
Coaches
Staikos T.	Malezas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Sakor V. 🟨,
20', Vlachomitros A. 🟨,
29', Ring S. 🟨,
41', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Alfarela M. ⚽, Mercati A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sanchez S. ↓, Mazhar B. ↑,
62', Lake T. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
65', Vrakas G. ↓, Soiri P. ↑,
70', Mellado M. 🟨,
73', Demethryus ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
73', Valbuena M. ↓, Lebon K. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Lebon K. ⚽, Soiri P. (A),
83', Athanasakopoulos A. ↓, Chantakias D. ↑,
83', Alfarela M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
83', Mercati A. ↓, Metaxas D. ↑,
83', Loukinas G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lamia won 2.

Recent matches Lamia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athens Kallithea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athens Kallithea will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lamia: Furtado G. (Inactive) Ibanez R. (Injury) Klonaridis V. (Injury)

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Giani E. (Inactive) Isimat-Mirin N. (Inactive) Manthatis G. (Red Card) McGarry J. (Injury) Sardelis G. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lamia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Lamia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lamia - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lamia FC
Greek Super League
30.03.25	Panserraikos - Lamia	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Lamia - Volos	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	OFI - Lamia	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lamia - Panathinaikos	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	PAOK - Lamia	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 TWLWL
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
29.03.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Athens Kallithea - PAOK	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Athens Kallithea - OFI	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
04.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	2:1
14.09.24	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:0
Greek Cup
10.01.23	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	1:2
14.12.22	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	1:1
24.10.17	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	1:0
Greek Football League
02.04.17	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	0:1
22.12.16	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	1:0

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