Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	SportPlus


	Athens Kallithea		Levadiakos

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.32	3.1	3.25
	2.29	3.08	3.58
	2.24	3.12	3.34	Watch
	2	3	3.9
	2.28	3.1	3.45	Watch
	2.32	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.66)	3.08 ↓ (3.51)	3.42 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athens Kallithea
41.9%

Draw
30.6%

Levadiakos
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athens Kallithea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athens Kallithea's form might have worsened.

Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadiakos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athens Kallithea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadiakos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	33.3%	40.7%

Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Levadiakos will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadiakos: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Levadiakos (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Levadiakos (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Levadiakos (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Levadiakos (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gelios I. (G) 23. Soiri P. 2. Mejias J. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 11. Kainourgios N. 29. Mellado M. 26. Mercati A. 27. Vrakas G. 28. Valbuena M. 95. Lebon K. 9. Alfarela M.	88. Anacker L. (G) 24. Liagas P. 4. Abu Hanna J. 69. Moreira M. 6. Tsapras T. 23. Cokaj E. 19. Jallow L. 3. Vichos P. 11. Balzi G. 7. Verbic B. 90. Zini
Substitutes
10. Demethryus 18. Giani E. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 25. Loukinas G. 8. Matilla J. 5. McGarry J. 21. Metaxas D. 1. Pantos A. (G) 7. Vasilogiannis A.	51. Avraham A. 1. Garavelis A. (G) 17. Gianniotas G. 20. Kassos P. 36. Katris G. 21. Ozbolt A. 15. Pedrozo F. 9. Romo J. 31. Symelidis P.
Coaches
Malezas S.	Papadopoulos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Tsapras T. ⚽, Verbic B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Balzi G. ⚽, Vichos P. (A),
52', Mellado M. ↓, Matilla J. ↑,
52', Vrakas G. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
56', Jallow L. 🟨,
60', Verbic B. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
60', Jallow L. ↓, Katris G. ↑,
62', Lebon K. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
62', Kainourgios N. ↓, McGarry J. ↑,
75', Balzi G. ↓, Ozbolt A. ↑,
76', Zini ↓, Avraham A. ↑,
76', Valbuena M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
77', Matilla J. 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, Ozbolt A. ⚽, Tsapras T. (A),
85', Moreira M. ↓, Symelidis P. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Athens Kallithea is a favorite.

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Giani E. (Inactive) Isimat-Mirin N. (Inactive) McGarry J. (Injury) Pasalidis T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Levadiakos: Erramuspe R. (Inactive) Kassos P. (Inactive) Macagno R. (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
12.04.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Athens Kallithea - PAOK	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWTWL
- Levadiakos FC
Greek Super League
12.04.25	Volos - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Levadiakos - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Panetolikos - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Panetolikos - Levadiakos	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Levadiakos - Atromitos Athens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
09.12.24	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	2:4
18.08.24	Levadiakos - Athens Kallithea	0:0
Greek Super League 2
23.03.22	Levadiakos - Athens Kallithea	1:1
05.12.21	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:1

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