Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Katoikos K. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
World	Triller TV+


	Athens Kallithea		PAOK

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5	Watch
	6.75	4.5	1.44
	6.4	4.4	1.5
	6.25	4.57	1.51
	5.88	4.51	1.49	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	6.93	3.96	1.49	Watch
	6.4	4.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↓ (9.13)	4.29 ↓ (4.85)	1.48 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athens Kallithea
14.6%

Draw
21.9%

PAOK
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

19.4%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.8%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Athens Kallithea - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). PAOK will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gelios I. (G) 2. Mejias J. 58. Pasalidis T. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 11. Kainourgios N. 8. Matilla J. 29. Mellado M. 23. Soiri P. 28. Valbuena M. 10. Demethryus 9. Alfarela M.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 28. Wieteska M. 21. Baba A. R. 2. Camara M. 82. Meite S. 80. Pelkas D. 77. Despodov K. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
18. Giani E. 95. Lebon K. 25. Loukinas G. 26. Mercati A. 21. Metaxas D. 3. Nikolic N. 1. Pantos A. (G) 37. Tsivelekidis G. 27. Vrakas G.	9. Chalov F. 18. Gomez J. 5. Michailidis G. 4. Pena S. 22. Schwab S. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 20. Vieirinha
Coaches
Malezas S.	Castorina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Despodov K. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Alfarela M. ⚽, Mejias J. (A),
22', Vrakas G. 🟨,
45+1', Demethryus (Pen),
45+5', Mellado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Meite S. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
58', Pelkas D. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
58', Thomas B. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
66', Mercati A. ↓, Valbuena M. ↑,
66', Vrakas G. ↓, Lebon K. ↑,
74', Despodov K. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
81', Mellado M. ↓, Matilla J. ↑,
81', Alfarela M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
81', Sastre J. ↓, Vieirinha ↑,
88', Demethryus ↓, Soiri P. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Loukinas G. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Athens Kallithea is Super League (Relegation Group )

PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

Athens Kallithea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches PAOK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PAOK is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Giani E. (Injury) Pasalidis T. (Red Card) Sardelis G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Chalov F. (Injury) Colley O. (Injury) Jonny Otto (Injury) Konstantelias G. (Yellow Cards) Kotarski D. (Injury) Lovren D. (Injury) Ozdoev M. (Yellow Cards) Schwab S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Last Results with these Odds

PAOK - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 70.31%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Athens Kallithea - OFI	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Atromitos Athens - Athens Kallithea	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Athens Kallithea - Aris	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWL
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
02.03.25	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	FCSB - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
16.02.25	PAOK - Lamia	7:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	PAOK - FCSB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
01.12.24	PAOK - Athens Kallithea	2:2

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