Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Dimotiko Stadio Serron (Serres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Usa	SportPlus


	Panserraikos		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.63
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.7	3.15	2.7
	2.67	3.11	2.72	Watch
	2.6	3	2.7
	2.72	3.06	2.59	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.34)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	2.68 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panserraikos
35%

Draw
30.1%

Athens Kallithea
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panserraikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Panserraikos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Athens Kallithea (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Athens Kallithea (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Athens Kallithea (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 64. Deligiannidis P. 31. Bergstrom E. 30. Volnei 91. Davidson J. 26. Staikos P. 40. Omeonga S. 77. Salazar J. 29. Gabriel Pires 93. Fares M. 10. Betancor J.	24. Gelios I. (G) 2. Mejias J. 58. Pasalidis T. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 11. Kainourgios N. 29. Mellado M. 26. Mercati A. 27. Vrakas G. 28. Valbuena M. 10. Demethryus 9. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
7. Deletic M. 16. Galvan B. A. 25. Gelin J. 4. Karasalidis A. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 8. Liasos A. 3. Petavrakis S. 21. Sofianos M. 22. Wague M.	95. Lebon K. 25. Loukinas G. 8. Matilla J. 21. Metaxas D. 22. Mughe F. R. 17. Ndiaye M. 1. Pantos A. (G) 23. Soiri P. 7. Vasilogiannis A.
Coaches
Ferrando J.	Malezas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Alfarela M. ⚽, Demethryus (A),
15', 1 - 1, Staikos P. ⚽, Fares M. (A),
20', Mejias J. 🟨,
26', Mejias J. ↓, Soiri P. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Pasalidis T. 🟥,
55', Valbuena M. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
64', Staikos P. ↓, Gelin J. ↑,
70', Davidson J. 🟨,
73', Demethryus ↓, Lebon K. ↑,
73', Alfarela M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
73', Vrakas G. ↓, Metaxas D. ↑,
75', Volnei ↓, Deletic M. ↑,
80', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
80', Metaxas D. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Betancor J. (Pen),
90', 3 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽,
90+2', Fares M. ↓, Wague M. ↑,
90+2', Omeonga S. ↓, Liasos A. ↑,
90+2', Salazar J. ↓, Sofianos M. ↑,
90+4', Gelin J. 🟨,
90+8', Deligiannidis P. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Panserraikos won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Panserraikos: Fares M. (Inactive) Terzic N. (Inactive) Wague M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Giani E. (Inactive) Isimat-Mirin N. (Inactive) McGarry J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Panserraikos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Panserraikos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panserraikos FC
Greek Super League
05.04.25	Levadiakos - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Panserraikos - Lamia	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panserraikos	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Atromitos Athens - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWWL
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
05.04.25	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Athens Kallithea - PAOK	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Athens Kallithea - OFI	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
01.03.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	2:1
22.11.24	Athens Kallithea - Panserraikos	1:2
Greek Football League
06.05.18	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	1:1
28.01.18	Athens Kallithea - Panserraikos	3:1
19.03.17	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	1:1
05.12.16	Athens Kallithea - Panserraikos	0:1

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