Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Atherton Collieries		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.65
	4	4	1.66
	3.97	4.09	1.71
	3.97	4.09	1.72
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	4.1	3.82	1.68
	4	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.25)	3.93 ↓ (4.5)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
23.1%

Draw
23.1%

Ashton United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

20.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

19.1%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Atherton Collieries - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ashton have a series of guest games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0 ✺
11.11.23	Worksop Town - Atherton Collieries	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ilkeston	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Atherton Collieries - Marske United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLWL
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
21.11.23	Ilkeston - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
14.11.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Redditch United - Ashton United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:3
16.09.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	2:2
English NPL Premier Division
18.03.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	3:0
01.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	2:0
05.04.22	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	2:2
01.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2
English FA Trophy
30.10.21	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	1:0

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