Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	United of Manchester		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	9
	1.24	6.14	9.05
	1.25	6.14	9.05
	1.3	4.75	7
	1.24	5.5	8.8
	1.25	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	5.59 ↑ (4.5)	8.65 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
73%

Draw
16.4%

Atherton Collieries
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United of Manchester's performance.

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United of Manchester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+4%)

United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 2.

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atherton Collieries has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently United of Manchester have a series of guest games.

In this match United of Manchester is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams United of Manchester won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Basford United - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	2:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Morpeth Town - United of Manchester	1:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.23	Marske United - United of Manchester	2:5 ✺
30.09.23	Workington - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Atherton Collieries - Marske United	1:4 ✺
10.10.23	Guiseley - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
03.10.23	Atherton Collieries - Hyde United	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:0
13.08.22	United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries	1:2
02.04.22	United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries	2:0
20.11.21	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	2:1
19.10.19	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	2:3
English FA Cup
10.09.19	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	0:1
07.09.19	United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries	2:2

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