Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Atherton Collieries		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.44	2.28
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.26	2.3
	2.85	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	3.35 ↑ (3.31)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
32.1%

Draw
27.3%

Lancaster City
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
26.08.23	Basford United - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Matlock Town - Atherton Collieries	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Atherton Collieries - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Atherton Collieries - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
26.08.23	Lancaster City - Guiseley	2:2 ✺
22.08.23	Lancaster City - Macclesfield Town	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Radcliffe - Lancaster City	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.01.23	Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City	1:1
29.08.22	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	0:0
01.01.22	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	0:0
30.08.21	Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City	3:1
01.01.20	Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City	2:1
26.08.19	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	1:0

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