Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.8	6.4
	1.38	4.92	7.27
	1.33	5.14	8.13
	1.36	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.92 ↑ (4.85)	7.05 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
68.1%

Draw
18.8%

Lancaster City
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.9%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

17.5%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worksop Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Worksop Town - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sloan C. 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Mansell L. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Hall L. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Starcenko A. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Starcenko A. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Hughes L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Worksop in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lancaster is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Worksop is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Worksop to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Worksop won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.03.25	Warrington Rylands - Worksop Town	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Worksop Town - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Whitby Town - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Worksop Town - Workington	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
22.03.25	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ilkeston - Lancaster City	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Basford United - Lancaster City	0:4 ✺
01.03.25	Hyde United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Lancaster City - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.11.24	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0
23.12.23	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0
19.08.23	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	0:0

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