Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 2d 8h 📅 Remind Me


	United of Manchester		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.55	2.90
	2.08	3.85	2.97	Watch
	2.03	3.60	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
44.4%

Draw
24.7%

Lancaster City
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

United of Manchester - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 4.

United of Manchester has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lancaster has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lancaster could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, United of Manchester has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with United of Manchester holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, United of Manchester has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:15 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for United of Manchester against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lancaster	16	6	2	8	20:29	-9	20
20	FC United	14	2	5	7	20:26	-6	11

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Lancaster: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
27.10.26	United of Manchester - Quorn	1:1 ✺
24.10.26	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	United of Manchester - Altrincham	2:6 ✺
17.10.26	Altrincham - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	United of Manchester - Emley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTT
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.26	Emley - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	2:2 ✺
07.10.26	Avro - Lancaster City	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:1
12.08.25	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:2
08.02.25	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:1
12.10.24	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:3
27.04.24	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	4:3
11.11.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:0
11.02.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	2:0

United of Manchester - Lancaster City