Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Gernika

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	8.5
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.27	5.16	10.65
	1.27	5.16	10.65
	1.25	5.12	10.1
	1.27	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.58)	5.07 ↑ (4.08)	9.73 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
72.4%

Draw
18.1%

Gernika
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gernika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rego A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Izeta U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Arzallluz M. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Olabarrieta A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Athletic Bilbao B is Confirmed as championsnQualified for

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 1.

Athletic Bilbao B in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gernika is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.24	Real Sociedad C - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Náxara	4:0 ✺
05.04.24	Tudelano - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Gernika - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Brea - Gernika	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Gernika - Utebo	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Náxara - Gernika	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.12.23	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
09.02.19	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
22.09.18	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	3:0
03.02.18	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0
16.09.17	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	0:0
13.04.17	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	2:1
19.11.16	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0

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