Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Athletic Carpi		Correggese

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.29	2.94	2.99
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.32	3.05	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)	2.9 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi
39.2%

Draw
29.7%

Correggese
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Athletic Carpi - Correggese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Athletic Carpi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Correggese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Correggese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletic Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Athletic Carpi	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Athletic Carpi - Real Forte Querceta	4:1 ✺
13.03.22	Mezzolara - Athletic Carpi	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Athletic Carpi - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.03.22	Athletic Carpi - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWW
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.22	Correggese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Alcione - Correggese	2:3 ✺
13.03.22	Correggese - Rimini	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Correggese	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Correggese - Aglianese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Correggese - Athletic Carpi	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Correggese - Athletic Carpi	0:0

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