Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Athletic Carpi		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.05	3.2
	2.09	3	3.18
	2.12	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.01)	3.09 (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi
42.9%

Draw
29%

Alcione
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

21.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletic Carpi - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Athletic Carpi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcione is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Athletic Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Carpi
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Correggese - Athletic Carpi	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Correggese - Athletic Carpi	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Athletic Carpi - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Real Forte Querceta - Athletic Carpi	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Athletic Carpi - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Aglianese - Alcione	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Alcione - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Correggese - Alcione	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Alcione - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Real Forte Querceta - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLT

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