Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Athletic Carpi		Mezzolara

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	2	3.25	3.3
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.73	3.42	3.91
	1.8	3.44	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	3.38 ↑ (3.11)	3.85 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi
50.1%

Draw
26.6%

Mezzolara
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Carpi's performance.

Mezzolara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mezzolara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Carpi - Mezzolara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Athletic Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Athletic Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.10.21	Progresso - Athletic Carpi	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Borgo San Donnino	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tritium - Athletic Carpi	3:3 ✺
10.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Sammaurese	4:1 ✺
06.10.21	Prato - Athletic Carpi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWL
- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.10.21	Mezzolara - Aglianese	0:1 ✺
20.10.21	Alcione - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Mezzolara - Correggese	1:2 ✺
10.10.21	Cavenago Fanfulla - Mezzolara	1:2 ✺
06.10.21	Real Forte Querceta - Mezzolara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW

Athletic Carpi - Mezzolara

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi - Mezzolara Predictions

Preview

Form

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