Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Athletic Palermo		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.74	3.05	2.43
	2.74	3.11	2.46	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.45
	2.54	3.53	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Palermo
33.9%

Draw
29.1%

Reggina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.6%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Athletic Palermo - Reggina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Ferraro L. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Athletic Palermo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reggina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15:1	14	15
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Reggina - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.03.26	Nissa - Athletic Palermo	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Athletic Palermo - Paternò	4:2 ✺
05.03.26	Enna - Athletic Palermo	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sambiase - Athletic Palermo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Athletic Palermo - Gela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.03.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Reggina	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Reggina - Acireale	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Reggina - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Reggina - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Reggina - Athletic Palermo	2:3

Athletic Palermo - Reggina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide