Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Sambiase		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.42
	2.64	3.26	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambiase
34.5%

Draw
28.2%

Athletic Palermo
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sambiase - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Grillo P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Leveque A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Maurino F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Sambiase have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athletic Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Athletic Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sambiase won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.02.26	ACR Messina - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sambiase - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Savoia - Sambiase	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sambiase - Ragusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLT
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.02.26	Athletic Palermo - Gela	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Athletic Palermo - Milazzo	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Acireale - Athletic Palermo	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Athletic Palermo - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
26.10.25	Athletic Palermo - Sambiase	2:0

Sambiase - Athletic Palermo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide