Match Info
Serie D - Group I - Round 25Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Athletic Palermo |
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Gela |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.49 |
3.85 |
5.5 |
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1.53 |
3.78 |
5.69 |
Watch |
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1.5 |
3.4 |
6 |
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1.47 |
3.74 |
6.52 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.75) |
3.69 ↑ (3.4) |
5.93 ↑ (4.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Athletic Palermo 60.3% | Draw 24.5% | Gela 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.Gela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gela than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Athletic Palermo - Gela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Aperi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 7).Athletic Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Gela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Gela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Athletic Palermo is the team to beat.We predict that Athletic Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Athletic Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
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| 15 | Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;