Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasileiro U20 - Round 8

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.69	3.83	4.66
	1.7	3.83	4.66
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.65	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	4.38 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
54.3%

Draw
24.8%

Fluminense U20
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Silva I. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Chiqueti ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, Fabio L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 2, Silva I. ⚽,
54', 4 - 2, Leo Derik ⚽,
61', 5 - 2, Emersonn ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Athletico PR U20 in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fluminense U20 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletico PR U20 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletico PR U20 to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
17.05.24	Independente São Joseense U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
14.05.24	Atletico GO U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
10.05.24	Campo Mourão U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:9 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.05.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - América MG U20	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
15.05.24	Fluminense U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:0 ✺
08.05.24	Fluminense U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:2 ✺
30.04.24	Santos U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1 ✺
25.04.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	0:0 ✺
17.04.24	Fluminense U20 - Goiás U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
18.06.22	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1
14.08.21	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1
27.09.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0
21.08.19	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fluminense U20	4:1

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