Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Santos U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.78	3.65	3.8
	1.9	3.72	3.67
	1.8	3.81	3.72
	1.82	3.64	4.06
	1.78	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
50.7%

Draw
25.1%

Fluminense U20
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Santos U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Luca Meirelles ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Marlon Almeida ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 2, Wesley Nata ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos U20 won 3.

Santos U20 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Fluminense U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fluminense U20 have a series of home games.

In this match Santos U20 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santos U20 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Santos U20 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Atletico GO U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2 ✺
27.03.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	2:4 ✺
17.03.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWTW
- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
12.04.25	Fluminense U20 - Volta Redonda U20	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
29.03.25	Fluminense U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
26.03.25	Fluminense U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
30.04.24	Santos U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1
16.07.22	Santos U20 - Fluminense U20	3:0
Brazilian Copinha
16.01.22	Fluminense U20 - Santos U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20
08.08.21	Fluminense U20 - Santos U20	4:3
30.09.20	Fluminense U20 - Santos U20	2:0
31.07.19	Fluminense U20 - Santos U20	1:1

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