Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.3	2.98
	2.17	3.43	3.07
	2.18	3.42	3.03	Watch
	2.12	3.38	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.13)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
43%

Draw
27%

Vasco da Gama U20
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Athletico Paranaense U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR U20 (votes: 1 - 50%). Vasco U20 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mateus Soares (G) 7. Chiqueti 3. Fabio L. 8. Guilherme Back 11. Gustavo Gomes 6. Gustavo Veiga 10. Lima 4. Marcos Maia 9. Sorriso 5. Stabelini K. 2. Vitinho	1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 6. Alison 3. Andre B. 2. Breninho 8. Euder 5. Gustavo Guimaraes 7. Juninho 9. Leo Jaco 10. Lukas Zuccarello 11. Riquelme Avellar 4. Walace Fernandes
Substitutes
21. Andrey Carvalho 15. Camargo Murilo 12. Carlos Eduardo (G) 13. Joao Vigolo 19. Juliano Santini 17. Marezi L. 22. Murilo 16. Pyetro 18. Ronald Kaua 20. Suassuna C. 14. Tanguy Gael 24. Vitor J.	21. Andrey Fernandes 17. Diego Ahmed 14. Joao Claudino 20. Marca L. 15. Matheus Ferreira 13. Melim L. 12. Narcao 23. Pedro Augusto 19. Ramiro A. 16. Ramon Rique 18. Samuel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Euder 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Lima ⚽,
26', Leo Jaco 🟨,
45+2', Breninho 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Fabio L. ↓, Camargo Murilo ↑,
46', Alison ↓, Marca L. ↑,
49', Camargo Murilo 🟨,
54', Camargo Murilo ↓, Tanguy Gael ↑,
54', Sorriso ↓, Juliano Santini ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Leo Jaco ⚽,
57', 🟨,
66', Lukas Zuccarello ↓, Samuel ↑,
66', Gustavo Guimaraes ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
67', Gustavo Gomes ↓, Marezi L. ↑,
74', Vitinho ↓, Joao Vigolo ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Chiqueti ⚽,
81', Chiqueti 🟨,
82', Leo Jaco ↓, Andrey Fernandes ↑,
82', Juninho ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
84', Riquelme Avellar ↓, Ramiro A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Lima ⚽,
90', Marca L. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Lima ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, Euder ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Athletico PR U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Athletico PR U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
26.07.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - FC Cascavel U20	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Atletico GO U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
20.07.25	FC Cascavel U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Santos U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
12.07.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTLW
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Juventude U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
09.07.25	Cuiabá U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
02.07.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
16.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
09.07.22	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	3:3
07.08.21	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
02.11.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	3:3
31.07.19	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	5:2
12.07.17	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1

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