Match Info

National League Women - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Athlone Town		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.95	7.7
	1.27	5.24	8.74	Watch
	1.23	5.25	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.51)	5.15 ↑ (4.2)	8.81 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
72%

Draw
17.7%

Treaty United
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

19.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athlone Town's performance.

Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treaty United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athlone Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treaty United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athlone Town - Treaty United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Scheriff D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Athlone Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athlone Town is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:15. (average 3.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Athlone Town won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Athlone WFC W	21	16	4	1	48:15	33	52
6	Treaty Utd W	21	9	6	6	28:19	9	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town Women
All-Island Cup Women
10.05.26	Cliftonville - Athlone Town	3:2 ✺
Irish National League Women
02.05.26	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Athlone Town - Wexford Youths	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Athlone Town - Peamount United	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Bohemians Dublin - Athlone Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW
- Treaty United WFC
Irish National League Women
02.05.26	Treaty United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Bohemians Dublin - Treaty United	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Treaty United - Galway United	0:2 ✺
All-Island Cup Women
04.04.26	Treaty United - Cliftonville	3:2 ✺
Irish National League Women
28.03.26	Cork City - Treaty United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish National League Women
23.07.25	Treaty United - Athlone Town	1:1
All-Island Cup Women
24.05.25	Athlone Town - Treaty United	0:1
Irish National League Women
19.04.25	Athlone Town - Treaty United	3:1
14.09.24	Treaty United - Athlone Town	0:3
Irish FAI Cup Women
24.08.24	Treaty United - Athlone Town	1:2
Irish National League Women
15.06.24	Athlone Town - Treaty United	1:0
27.05.23	Athlone Town - Treaty United	7:0

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