Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Atlètic Lleida		Badalona

	1	X	2
	2	2.65	4.1
	2.06	2.7	4.1
	2.06	2.56	4.51
	2.04	2.69	4.41	Watch
	2.02	2.83	4.29
	2.06	2.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.86)	2.69 ↓ (3.3)	4.25 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
44.7%

Draw
33.9%

Badalona
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlètic Lleida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Atlètic Lleida - Badalona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Badalona (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Badalona (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Larrosa T. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

Atlètic Lleida has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Badalona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlètic Lleida is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.05.25	Badalona - Atlètic Lleida	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Atlètic Lleida - Prat	6:0 ✺
04.05.25	Manresa - Atlètic Lleida	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Atlètic Lleida - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	CE Europa B - Atlètic Lleida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.05.25	Badalona - Atlètic Lleida	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Badalona - Reus FC Reddis	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Sabadell B - Badalona	1:4 ✺
27.04.25	Badalona - San Cristóbal	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Girona B - Badalona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.05.25	Badalona - Atlètic Lleida	2:2
09.03.25	Atlètic Lleida - Badalona	1:1
27.10.24	Badalona - Atlètic Lleida	0:0

Atlètic Lleida - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide