Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Badalona		Reus FC Reddis

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	5
	1.91	2.56	5.18
	1.57	3.82	5.01
	1.66	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	3.25 ↑ (2.8)	5.05 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
53.7%

Draw
28.2%

Reus FC Reddis
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

32.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badalona's performance.

Reus FC Reddis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reus FC Reddis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reus FC Reddis than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reus FC Reddis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona - Reus FC Reddis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Gonzalo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Homet Ruiz D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Badalona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reus FCR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Badalona is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Badalona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Sabadell B - Badalona	1:4 ✺
27.04.25	Badalona - San Cristóbal	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Girona B - Badalona	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Badalona - Grama	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Prat - Badalona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTW
- Reus FC Reddis
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Reus FC Reddis - Tona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Montañesa - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Reus FC Reddis - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	San Cristóbal - Reus FC Reddis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.01.25	Reus FC Reddis - Badalona	2:1
17.03.24	Reus FC Reddis - Badalona	0:1
29.10.23	Badalona - Reus FC Reddis	4:0

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