Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Sabadell B		Badalona

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.87	3.25	1.8
				Watch
	3.98	3.32	1.83
	3.9	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.24)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell B
23.6%

Draw
27.6%

Badalona
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell B than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sabadell B - Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Larrosa T. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Homet Ruiz D. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 3, Homet Ruiz D. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Homet Ruiz D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Sabadell B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Badalona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sabadell B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Badalona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabadell B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.04.25	Tona - Sabadell B	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Sabadell B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Reus FC Reddis - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Montañesa - Sabadell B	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sabadell B - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWLL
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Badalona - San Cristóbal	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Girona B - Badalona	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Badalona - Grama	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Prat - Badalona	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Badalona - Manresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Badalona - Sabadell B	0:1

Sabadell B - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide