Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Becerril

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6
	1.47	3.9	6.2
	1.47	3.73	5.83
	1.49	3.85	6.31	Watch
	1.47	3.85	6.28
	1.47	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↓ (4)	6.14 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
61.8%

Draw
23.4%

Becerril
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético Astorga - Becerril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 3.

Recent matches Atlético Astorga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Becerril is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Astorga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Astorga is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.7:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Astorga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Briviesca - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Atlético Astorga - Mojados	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWL
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.12.24	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:3 ✺
01.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Becerril - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Briviesca - Becerril	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Becerril - Mojados	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.03.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:0
05.11.23	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	0:0
11.03.23	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:1
06.11.22	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	1:2
14.02.21	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	1:1
21.11.20	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:0
19.01.20	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:1

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