The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes 53.8%
Draw 26.8%
Becerril 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
26.6%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
25.6%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Villardon H. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,
73', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2.
Santa Marta Tormes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Becerril has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is the team to beat.
We predict that Santa Marta Tormes will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
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