Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.15	2.5
	2.7	3.21	2.69
	2.69	3.18	2.64	Watch
	2.62	3.28	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.62)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
35.1%

Draw
29%

Lusitânia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Atlético CP - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro L. (G) 31. Paulinho 4. Henriques D. 23. Almeida B. 29. Dinamite D. 28. Cruz H. 60. Marques R. 88. Pinto P. 14. Joaozinho 9. Nicolas Souza 11. Franco E.	1. Cioletti G. (G) 85. Castro D. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 29. Cerveira T. 6. Martins H. 12. Arsenio 80. Renato Luis 11. Pereira M. 77. Goba Zakpa (C) 21. Joao Vasco
Coaches
Popovic N.	Miguel Pedro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Goba Zakpa 🟨,
39', Pereira M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Goba Zakpa ↓, Valente M. ↑,
68', Pinto P. ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
73', Arsenio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
73', Renato Luis ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
80', Barandas M. 🟨,
81', Dinamite D. ↓, Durand V. ↑,
81', Franco E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
87', Joao Vasco 🟨,
88', Joao Vasco ↓, Faria R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Recent matches Atlético CP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético CP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Amarante - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético CP - Fafe	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Varzim - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTT
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	1 Dezembro - Lusitânia	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Lusitânia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Fafe - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Lusitânia - Varzim	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	1:0
17.03.24	Lusitânia - Atlético CP	3:1

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