Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.24	2.99	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.82)	3.66 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
43.3%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético CP
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Varzim have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Varzim - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Momo Mbaye (G) 4. Henriques L. 25. Chicao 55. Ze Oliveira 2. Pimenta G. 6. Pacheco F. 8. Oliveira R. 19. Lopes A. 99. Moshood M. 9. Silva Nhaga I. 80. Gomes A.	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 45. Junior T. 4. Henriques D. 23. Almeida B. 29. Dinamite D. 8. Pipo 10. Caleb 60. Marques R. 11. Franco E. 17. Silva D. 14. Joaozinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Moshood M. 🟨,
11', Silva Nhaga I. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Joaozinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Junior T. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Moshood M. ⚽,
63', Silva Nhaga I. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
63', Pacheco F. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
70', Gomes A. ↓, Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↑,
74', Caleb ↓, Pinto P. ↑,
74', Silva D. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
79', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
79', Ze Oliveira 🟨,
83', Franco E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
83', Oliveira R. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
83', Moshood M. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
86', Pimenta G. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Recent matches Varzim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético CP is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético CP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Varzim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.25	Lusitânia - Varzim	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Varzim - Amarante	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	São João de Ver - Varzim	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Varzim - Trofense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Sanjoanense - Varzim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Covilhã - Atlético CP	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
20.04.24	Varzim - Atlético CP	1:1
25.02.24	Atlético CP - Varzim	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
13.02.16	Varzim - Atlético CP	3:2
12.09.15	Atlético CP - Varzim	3:1

Varzim - Atlético CP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide